2018 Tip Sheet: House

CAMPAIGNS-AND-ELECTIONS-002

House Races

Elected in 2010 – 43

The current breakdown of the huge 2010 class is 35 Republicans and eight Democrats. Interesting to note, that class is the same size as the junior class, which stands at 43 members. This was the class elected after Obamacare in the huge Republican wave and many Democrats have been waiting for this class to term out.

On the Republican side, they will have to defend the 11th where Rep. Higdon is term-limited, as well as in the 35th, where Rep. Cross sits. Those are probably the most likely pickups from this class. The 38th, where Rep. Berry is leaving, could be tough for Republicans if the Democrats can recruit a good candidate. The 97th in Jefferson County and the 116th in Farmington look tough on paper, but odds are the Republicans aren’t losing sleep on those races, barring a start recruiting job by the Democrats or a very bad year for the GOP.

Democrats start off with a tall order in keeping their last rural Missouri seat as Rep. Harris vacates the 118th. Currently, that seems the most likely seat in the entire House to flip.

Republicans – Term Limited in 2018

HD 4 R+5.6 (Redmon)
Raised this cycle: $3,550.00
Cash on hand: $33,045.4

 

HD 5 R+8.8 (Shumake)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $2,716.53

 

HD 9 R+8 (Johnson)
Raised this cycle: $500.00
Cash on hand: $4,692.67

 

HD 11 D+4.2 (Higdon)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $765.44

 

HD 13 R+3.8 (Marshall)
Raised this cycle: $917.82
Cash on hand: $19,980.23

 

Cierpiot

Cierpiot

HD 30 R+3.8 (Cierpiot)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $152,322.94

 

HD 32 R+4.3 (Lauer)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $77,638.59

 

HD 35 R+0 (Cross)
Raised this cycle: $790.00
Cash on hand: $23,466.35

 

HD 38 R+1.6 (Berry)
Raised this cycle: $1,500.00
Cash on hand: $92,078.31

(R) Doug Richey
Raised this cycle: $5,548.34
Cash on hand: $4,165.82

 

HD 42 R+5.8 (Korman)
Raised this cycle: $1.32
Cash on hand: $26,569.87

(R) Jason Boles
Raised this cycle: $600.00
Cash on hand: $507.90

 

HD 43 R+5.3 (Houghton)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $21,910.70

 

HD 55 R+7.5 (Brattin)
Raised this cycle: $1,150.00
Cash on hand: $451.90

 

HD 57 R+4.1 (Wanda Brown)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $16,649.30

 

HD 59 R+15.7 (Bernskoetter)
Raised this cycle: $500.00
Cash on hand: $84,026.88

 

Barnes

Barnes

HD 60 R+6.4 (Barnes)
Raised this cycle: $1,750.00
Cash on hand: $33,937.78

 

HD 95 R+4.9 (Haefner)
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $14,698.19

 

HD 97 D+2.8 (McCaherty)
Raised this cycle: $750.00
Cash on hand: $55,728.31

 

HD 102 R+9.6 (Bahr)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $4,954.65

 

HD 104 R+2.1 (Conway)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $28,929.68

(R) Adam Schnelting
Raised this cycle: $12,125.00
Cash on hand: $11,931.42

 

Rep. Paul Curtman

Curtman

HD 109 R+4.8 (Curtman)
Raised this cycle: $5,685.00
Cash on hand: $18,172.52

(R) Scott Bell
Raised this cycle: $660.00
Cash on hand: $0.00

 

HD 116 R+.05 (Engler)
Raised this cycle: $1,650.00
Cash on hand: $36,248.00

 

HD 121 R+9.3 (Frederick)
Raised this cycle: $2,500.00
Cash on hand: $18,609.62

 

HD 123 R+14.8 (Franklin)
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $10,987.54

(R) Cole Karr
Raised this cycle: $1,100.00
Cash on hand: $1,079.84

 

HD 127 R+22.4 (Kelley)* 

 

HD 129 R+13.6 (Crawford)
Raised this cycle: $1,400.00
Cash on hand: $82,706.18
Crawford will be leaving the house in August after being elected to the senate.

 

HD 137 R+13.3 (Fraker)
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $15,998.63

 

HD 138 R+15.3 (Phillips)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $17,599.75

(R) Brad Hudson
Raised this cycle: $5,000.00
Cash on hand: $5,000.00

 

HD 144 D+1.2 (Fitzwater)
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $40,713.24

 

Richardson

Richardson

HD 152 R+10.4 (Richardson)
Raised this cycle: $35,802.26
Cash on hand: $363,663.65

(R) Hardy Billington
Raised this cycle: $86,050.00
Cash on hand: $85,635.76

 

HD 153 R+12.2 (Cookson)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $6,938.23

(R) Jeff Shawan (January Report)
Raised this cycle: $60,000
Cash on hand: $60,000

 

HD 155 R+14.5 (Rowland)
Raised this cycle: $750.00
Cash on hand: $4,547.97

 

HD 159 R+19.2 (Lant)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $5,672.14

 

HD 160 R+20.6 (Reiboldt)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $13,382.31

 

HD 161 R+15.2 (White)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $42,908.46

 

HD 162 R+18.1 (Davis)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $6,587.75

Democrats – Term Limited in 2018

HD 10 D+5.5 (Conway)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $28,929.68

HD 21 D+6.9 (Anders)*
(D) Holmes Osborne
Raised this cycle: $974.01
Cash on hand: $249.66

(D) Dan O’Neill
Raised this cycle: $7,500.00
Cash on hand: $6,900.00

 

Rep. Gail McCann Beatty

Rep. Gail McCann Beatty

HD 26 D+31.5 (Beatty)
Raised this cycle: $5,800.00
Cash on hand: $16,212.34

 

HD 72 D+11.1 (Nichols)* 

HD 84 D+37.0 (May)*

HD 85 D+32.9 (Smith)*

 

HD 87 D+10.8 (Newman)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $24,469.52

(D) Ian Mackey
Raised this cycle: $11,468.07
Cash on hand: $11,204.85

 

HD 118 D+6.9 (Harris)
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $16,005.25

Elected in 2012 – 43

The current breakdown of members elected in 2012 is 33 Republicans and 10 Democrats, and the limited number of targets here along with the fact that all 43 have been elected three times leads you to believe it will stay that way. The Democrats really have no seats in this class that are traditionally targeted by Republicans, but look for several Democrats to run in a primary against anti-labor representative Courtney Curtis.

On the Republican side, it appears that the 136th will be open as Rep. Austin is running for the Senate and will leave the heavily Republican seat open. We put Rep. Cloria Brown in this class as this is her third term and it’s fair that she could face a new challenger after running against former Rep. Vicki Englund for the better part of a decade.

Republicans – Term Limited in 2020

HD 3 R+6.5
Rep. Nate Walker
Raised this cycle: $1,500.00
Cash on hand: $2,225.67
Rep. Walker is rumored to be running for state senate in 2018.

 

HD 6 R+6.0
Rep. Tim Remole
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $16,558.82

 

HD 8 R+1.6
Rep. Jim Neely*

 

HD 12 R+3.1
Rep. Ken Wilson
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $10,734.36

 

HD 16 D+1.7
Rep. Noel Shull
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $75,454.70

 

HD 33 R+4.1
Rep. Donna Pfautsch
Raised this cycle: $25.00
Cash on hand: $40,954.56

 

HD 39 D+.06
Rep. Joe Don McGaugh*

 

HD 40 R+1.5
Rep. Jim Hansen
Raised this cycle: $500.00
Cash on hand: $25,299.83

 

HD 48 R+4.2
Rep. Dave Muntzel
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $5,531.20

 

HD 51  R+.08
Rep. Dean Dohrman
Raised this cycle: $325.00
Cash on hand: $2,694.15

 

Rep. Glen Kolkmeyer

Kolkmeyer

HD 53 R+3.2
Rep. Glen Kolkmeyer
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $24,974.42

 

HD 58 R+10
Rep. David Wood
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $10,746.50

 

HD 62 R+4.8
Rep. Tom Hurst
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $59.64

 

HD 63 R+4.8
Rep. Bryan Spencer
Raised this cycle: $5,300.00
Cash on hand: $2,507.05

 

Cornejo

Cornejo

HD 64 R+2.6
Rep. Robert Cornejo
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $80,430.12

 

HD 94 D+2.5
Rep. Cloria Brown
Raised this cycle: $225.00
Cash on hand: $1,975.28

 

HD 106 R+.03
Rep. Chrissy Sommer
Raised this cycle: $325.00
Cash on hand: $23,612.93

 

HD 115 D+7.9
Rep. Elaine Gannon
Raised this cycle: $525.00
Cash on hand: $25,064.21


HD 122 R+11.5
Rep. Steve Lynch
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $2,184.38

 

HD 124 R+13.3
Rep. Rocky Miller
Raised this cycle: $2,000.00
Cash on hand: $20,114.76

 

HD 125 R+4.7
Rep. Warren Love
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $4,775.93

 

HD 130 R+14.6
Rep Jeff Messenger
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $7,610.00

 

HD 131 R+10.7
Rep. Sonya Anderson
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $14,182.78

 

Haahr

Haahr

HD 134 R+7.1
Rep. Elijah Haahr
Raised this cycle: $2,200
Cash on hand: $81,420.36

 

HD 136 R+13.3
Rep. Kevin Austin
Raised this cycle: $1,400.00
Cash on hand: $8,495.38
Rep. Austin is rumored to be running for state senate in 2018.

 

HD 140 R+17.8
Rep. Lynn Morris
Raised this cycle: $325.00
Cash on hand: $49,258.50

 

HD 142 R+9.9
Rep. Robert Ross
Raised this cycle: $2,273.36
Cash on hand: $26,345.41

 

HD 143 R+7.2
Rep. Jeff Pogue
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $14,487.44

 

HD 146 R+11.6
Rep. Donna Lichtenegger*

 

HD 147 R+11.4
Rep. Kathy Swan
Raised this cycle: $750.00
Cash on hand: $52,623.07

 

Rehder

Rehder

HD 148 R+11.7
Rep. Holly Rehder
Raised this cycle: $6,460.85
Cash on hand: $170,165.67

 

HD 154 R+13.8
Rep. Shawn Rhoads
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $23,850.74

 

HD 156 R+14.6
Rep. Jeff Justus
Raised this cycle: $600.00
Cash on hand: $2,677.44

 

HD 158 R+15
Rep. Scott Fitzpatrick
Raised this cycle: $25,751.00
Cash on hand: $97,346.69

Democrats – Term Limited in 2020

Carpenter

Carpenter

HD 15  D+6.1
Rep. Jon Carpenter
Raised this cycle: $10,115.93
Cash on hand: $71,317.43

 

HD 22  D+37.7
Rep. Brandon Ellington
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $6,079.89

 

HD 23  D+37.1
Rep. Randy Dunn
Raised this cycle: $550.00
Cash on hand: $4,360.07

 

HD 24  D+37.1
Rep. Judy Morgan
Raised this cycle: $150.00
Cash on hand: $36,986.30

 

HD 37  D+10.8
Rep. Joe Runions*

 

HD 71  D+8.9
Rep. Sue Meredith
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $32,634.42

 

HD 73  D+31.7
Rep. Courtney Allen Curtis*

 

Rep. Michael Butler

Butler

HD 79  D+37.5
Rep. Michael Butler
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $5,846.23

 

HD 83  D+15.5
Rep. Gina Mitten
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $38,429.08

 

HD 93  D+10.7
Rep. Bob Burns
Raised this cycle: $1,400.00
Cash on hand: $3,311.64

Elected in 2014 – 36

The current breakdown of those elected in 2014 is 29 Republicans and seven Democrats. On the Republican side, every-cycle Reps. Corlew and Bayse have to face tough re-election fights. Last cycle’s Democrat pickup was from this class in Rep. King, but he was actually knocked off in the primary. Now, with Republicans needing only 82 votes to make bills laws, don’t look for such primary campaigns. It will be interesting to see if the Democrats even make efforts in their old strongholds of Jefferson County or the bootheel where Donald Trump finished off the few Democrats that were left after eight years of Obama. Outside of Corlew and Bayse, the traditionally targeted seats in this class are there. Also, it’s likely Rep. Dogan’s seat will be open as he is looking to run for St. Louis County Executive.

On the Democrats’ side, Republicans seem to always put up a fight for the Kirkwood seat held by Rep. Lavender and it looks likely that the 86th is open as Rep. Adams is running for State Senate.

Republicans – Term Limited in 2022

HD 1  R+10.8
Rep. Allen Andrews
Raised this cycle: $900.00
Cash on hand: $19,906.21

 

HD 2  R+8.7
Rep. Andrew Eggleston*

 

HD 7  R+7.2
Rep. Rusty Black
Raised this cycle: $400.00
Cash on hand: $7,691.33

 

HD 14  D+2.9
Rep. Kevin Corlew
Raised this cycle: $2,301.91
Cash on hand: $1,223.58

 

HD 20  D+5.8
Rep. Bill Kidd
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $22,970.88

 

Roeber

Roeber

HD 34  R+4.9
Rep. Rebecca Roeber
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $17,285.72

 

HD 41  R+1.3
Rep. Randy Pietzman
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $7,764.44

 

HD 47  D+.07
Rep. Chuck Basye
Raised this cycle: $750.00
Cash on hand: $5,650.40

 

HD 49  R+6.3
Rep. Travis Fitzwater
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $18,190.85

 

HD 52  R+5.6
Rep. Nathan Beard
Raised this cycle: $100.00
Cash on hand: $33,714.32

 

Bondon

Bondon

HD 56  R+3.4
Rep. Jack Bondon
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $43,739.81

 

HD 61  R+10.7
Rep. Justin Alferman
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $20,415.64

 

HD 98  R+7.9
Rep. Shamed Dogan
Raised this cycle $60,965.00
Cash on hand: $61,623.89
Rep. Dogan is rumored to be running for St. Louis County Executive in 2016. 

 

HD 103 R+7.8
Rep. John Wiemann
Raised this cycle: $2,600.00
Cash on hand: $26,870.70

 

HD 108 R+8.1
Rep. Justin Hill
Raised this cycle: $500.00
Cash on hand: $2,436.81

 

HD 110 R+11.1
Rep. Kirk Mathews
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $23,607.99

 

HD 111 D+1.7
Rep. Shane Roden
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $18,210.59

 

Vescovo

Vescovo

HD 112 D+2.2
Rep. Rob Vescovo
Raised this cycle: $100,000.00
Cash on hand: $89,370.38

 

HD 113 D+4.8
Rep. Dan Shaul
Raised this cycle: $500.00
Cash on hand: $5,139.07

 

HD 114 D+5.7
Rep. Becky Ruth
Raised this cycle: $400.00
Cash on hand: $4,639.54

 

HD 120 R+7.2
Rep. Jason Chipman
Raised this cycle: $1,450.00
Cash on hand: $1,703.14

 

HD 126 R+6.1
Rep. Patricia Pike
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $8,479.97

 

HD 128 R+14.1
Rep. Mike Stephens
Raised this cycle: $2,900.00
Cash on hand: $20,572.10

 

HD 139 R+16.6
Rep. Jered Taylor
Raised this cycle: $150.00
Cash on hand: $4,918.99

 

HD 149 D+3.5
Rep. Don Rone*

 

HD 150 R+3.8
Rep. Andrew McDaniel
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $15,871.65

 

HD 151 R+13.2
Rep. Tila Hubrecht
Raised this cycle: $150.00
Cash on hand: $3,917.41

 

Moon

Moon

HD 157 R+16
Rep. Mike Moon
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $6,419.09

Democrats – Term Limited in 2022

HD 18  D+19.3
Rep. Lauren Arthur
Raised this cycle: $4,532.00
Cash on hand: $47,440.00

 

HD 45  D+14.3
Rep. Kip Kendrick
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $28,599.19

 

HD 67  D+21.5
Rep. Alan Green*

 

HD 76  D+46.5
Rep. Joshua Peters
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $1,747.05

 

HD 86  D+36.5
Rep. Joe Adams
Raised this cycle: $1,650.00
Cash on hand: $37,154.49
Rep. Adams is rumored to be running for state senate in 2018.


HD 88  D+5
Rep. Tracy McCreery
Raised this cycle: $300.00
Cash on hand: $72,908.10

 

HD 90  R+.06
Rep. Deb Lavender
Raised this cycle: $2,414.00
Cash on hand: $51,280.12

 

Elected in 2016 – 40

The current breakdown of those elected in 2016 is 19 Republicans and 21 Democrats. There will be two Republicans added to this class after special elections in the 50th and the 129th are held making it 21 and 21. This might be the most impressive freshman Democratic class in over a decade, and there is work being done to focus their efforts on picking up seats, and without the burden of being the party of the president in power, maybe we have seen the bottom for House Democrats.

Before looking forward, they will probably have to put some resources into defending Rep. Beck and Rep. Unsicker, both of whom Republicans took runs at in 2016, but both should be re-elected in 2018. The Republicans will have to defend Rep. Matthiesen. It will be interesting to see if Democrats focus on a run at freshman Reps. Hannegan and Toalsen. If they are going to target seats in St. Charles or Boone County, they likely will.

Republicans – Term Limited in 2024

HD 31 R+1.5
Rep. Dan Stacy
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $879.76

 

HD 44 R+.03
Rep. Cheri Toalson Reisch
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $2,623.37

 

HD 54 R+3.9
Rep. Dan Houx
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $239.72

 

HD 65 D+.03
Rep. Tom Hannegan
Raised this cycle: $750.00
Cash on hand: $3,577.12

 

HD 70 D+.07
Rep. Mark Matthiesen
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $5,069.71

 

HD 89 R+12.6
Rep. Dean Plocher
Raised this cycle: $20.00
Cash on hand: $28,676.34

 

Gregory

Gregory

HD 96 R+8.5
Rep. David Gregory
Raised this cycle: $3,525.00
Cash on hand: $117.02

 

HD 99 R+3.4
Rep. Jean Evans
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $15,159.19

 

HD 100 R+10.2
Rep. Derek Grier
Raised this cycle: $900.00
Cash on hand: $12,612.68

 

HD 101 R+7.8
Rep. Bruce DeGroot
Raised this cycle: $12,275.00
Cash on hand: $4,377.19

 

HD 105 R+3.8
Rep. Phil Christofanelli
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $28,280.85

 

HD 117 D+4.7
Rep. Mike Henderson
Raised this cycle: $600.00
Cash on hand: $2,758.18

 

HD 119 R+.08
Rep. Nate Tate
Raised this cycle: $400.00
Cash on hand: $4,921.11

 

HD 107 R+1.6
Rep. Nick Schroer
Raised this cycle: $350.00
Cash on hand: $11,250.57

 

Kelly

Kelly

HD 141 R+16.4
Rep. Hannah Kelly
Raised this cycle: $2,550.00
Cash on hand: $718.49

 

HD 135 R+1.9
Rep. Steve Helms
Raised this cycle: $600.00
Cash on hand: $6,687.49

 

HD 133 R+11.8
Rep. Curtis Trent
Raised this cycle: $150.00
Cash on hand: $15,034.95

 

HD 145 R+13.4
Rep. Rick Francis
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $5,836.14

 

HD 163 R+22.1
Rep. Cody Smith
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $5,764.28

Democrats – Term Limited in 2024

HD 17 D+4.3
Rep. Mark Ellebracht
Raised this cycle: $820.00
Cash on hand: $2,335.34

 

HD 19 D+21.6
Rep. Ingrid Burnett
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $41.76

 

HD 25  D+17.7
Rep. Greg Razer
Raised this cycle: $325.00
Cash on hand: $17,827.65

 

HD 27  D+32.6
Rep. Richard Brown*

 

HD 28  D+11.5
Rep. Jerome Barnes
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $870.53

 

Rep. Rory Rowland

Rowland

HD 29 D+7
Rep. Rory Rowland
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $4,101.29

 

HD 36 D+16.9
Rep. Daron McGee
Raised this cycle: $1,845.29
Cash on hand: $1,028.45

 

HD 46 D+8.3
Rep. Martha Stevens
Raised this cycle: $500.00
Cash on hand: $10,295.61

 

HD 66 D+36.2
Rep. Tommie Pierson Jr.*

 

HD 68 D+15.9
Rep. Jay Mosley*

 

HD 69 D+12.7
Rep. Gretchen Bangert
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $4,301.03

 

HD 74 D+29.2
Rep. Cora Faith Walker

 

HD 75 D+41
Rep. Alan Gray
Raised this cycle: $475.00
Cash on hand: $5,920.72

 

HD 77 D+46.3
Rep. Steve Roberts Jr.
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $2,275.30

 

HD 78 D+36.2
Rep. Bruce Franks Jr.* 

 

HD 80 D+29.8
Rep. Peter Merideth* 

 

HD 81 D+24.4
Rep. Fred Wessels
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $30,930.99

 

HD 82  D+13
Rep. Donna Baringer
Raised this cycle: $0.00
Cash on hand: $33,831.73

 

HD 91 D+4.2
Rep. Sarah Unsicker
Raised this cycle Cash on hand: $3,200.00
Raised this cycle Cash on hand: $9,078.72

 

HD 92 D+3.7
Rep. Doug Beck
Raised this cycle: $250.00
Cash on hand: $10,481.07

 

HD 132 D+5.4
Rep. Crystal Quade
Raised this cycle: $535.00
Cash on hand: $5,279.57

Open

HD 50 R+4.5 (Jones)

Sarah Walsh, the Republican, is heavily favored to be elected in August.

 

*Denotes did not file by the statutory deadline

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