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Senate Tip Sheet: 30 Days After Primary

  

senate tip sheet

COMPETITIVE – 1

SD 19 (D+0.7) OPEN – Schaefer COMPETITIVE

This race will be the second most competitive in the entire state after the gubernatorial contest. Rep. Caleb Rowden is an excellent campaigner and can push a message of his being in the majority party where he can keep Mizzou safe from a legislature eager to wield a budget ax. Rep. Stephen Webber, as he highlighted in his opening commercial, will run on his military record and support for more liberal causes. It’s possible that this could be a district where Trump proves to be a drag, and it will be interesting to see how the incumbent Sen. Kurt Schaefer factors in.

(D) Rep. Stephen Webber

votewebber.com @s_webber

  • Contributions this period: $184,981.00
  • Contributions this election: $1,107,017.53
  • Cash on hand: $890,428.70

(R) Rep. Caleb Rowden

calebrowden.com @CalebRowden

  • Contributions this period: $37,251.00
  • Contributions this election: $550,119.40
  • Cash on hand: $360,371.03

 

LEAN REPUBLICAN  0

 

LEAN DEMOCRAT – 1

SD 1 (D+5.1) – Sifton LEAN DEMOCRAT

This is the second most contested Senate race in the state, mostly because the Democrats weren’t able to field top notch candidates against Sen. Gary Romine, Sen. Ryan Silvey, or in the 23rd or 21st Districts. Dr. Randy Jotte will do everything that he needs to do to win, and Senate Republicans will provide all the necessary money he needs to be competitive. It’s possible that all of the things Trump says that CNN and the New York Times hate are actually popular in South County. Republicans are counting on a big Trump win and a candidate with no record to make a run at the Senate floor’s most skilled operator. Also, don’t forget that this district is actually a more Democratic one than when Sen. Scott Sifton won as a challenger in 2012.

(D) Sen. Scott Sifton

scottsifton.com @scottsifton

  • Contributions this period: $201,753.00
  • Contributions this election: $1,448,469.99
  • Cash on hand: $810,373.22

(R) Randy Jotte

randyjotte.com @randyjotte

  • Contributions this period: $42,825.00
  • Contributions this election: $307,120.00
  • Cash on hand: $209,692.49

 

LIKELY REPUBLICAN – 3

SD 17 (R+0.8) – Silvey SAFE REPUBLICAN 

This is a race that should have been right there with SD 19 as one of the hottest in the state, except for the fact that Sen. Ryan Silvey is an immensely popular public official. He has bridged the gap in Clay County and will be the last Republican who wins and holds this seat as easily as he has. His opponent may be kicked off the ballot, but most doubt it. Either way the real questions may be how much of his massive war chest does he come out of the race with and does the Humphreys family annoy him anymore with contributions sent to his opponent.

(D) Ranen Bechthold

@RanenBechthold

  • Contributions this period: $196.05
  • Contributions this election: $25,441.05
  • Cash on hand: $7,079.18

(R) Sen. Ryan Silvey

votesilvey.com @RyanSilvey

  • Contributions this period: $38,750.00
  • Contributions this election: $879,044.44
  • Cash on hand: $576,601.70

SD 15 (R+9.3) OPEN – Schmitt SAFE REPUBLICAN 

You will recognize the name Eagleton and it’s who you think it is, therefore potentially making this a race to watch. However, Stephen Eagleton just barely won his primary, and lost the Democratic primary eight years ago. Eagleton has the ability to make this a race, but look for Rep. Andrew Koenig to continue his unprecedented ground game that has won upset wins in the past. This time he hits the doors as the favorite in a district that was redistricted to be even more Republican than it was in 2008.

(D) Stephen Eagleton

  • Contributions this period: $
  • Contributions this election: $
  • Cash on hand: $

(R) Rep. Andrew Koenig

electandrewkoenig.com @Koenig4MO

  • Contributions this period: $97,450.00
  • Contributions this election: $364,585.12
  • Cash on hand: $49,554.82

SD 23 (R+3.3) OPEN – Dempsey SAFE REPUBLICAN 

Bill Eigel has been impressing with his initial forays into the business and political community. It will take a game changer to make this a competitive race. While the district may be changing, Eigel seems to have things well in hand.

(D) Richard Orr

richardorr.org

  • Contributions this period: $0.00
  • Contributions this election: $3,172.36
  • Cash on hand: $621.18

(R) Bill Eigel

billeigel.com @BillEigel

  • Contributions this period: $326,201.00
  • Contributions this election: $929,256.34
  • Cash on hand: $80,216.34

 

LIKELY DEMOCRAT – 1

SD11 (D+8.9) OPEN – LeVota LIKELY DEMOCRAT

This will be an interesting race only if a mega donor, such as the Humphreys family, decides to come in to the tune of around a million dollars. Rep. John Rizzo won a tough primary with a comfortable margin where he overcame many of the attacks a general election opponent might hurl at him. Former Rep. Brent Lasater was able to door knock his way to a win in 2010, but this district might be out of reach for any Republican not named Noel Torpey, especially in a presidential year. Something will have to change to keep this race from being moved to a safe Democrat race.

(D) Rep. John Rizzo

johnrizzo.org @johnjrizzo

  • Contributions this period: $41,125.00
  • Contributions this election: $417,141.20
  • Cash on hand: $28,751.10

(R) Brent Lasater

brentlasaterforsenate.vpweb.com @Rep53

  • Contributions this period: $175.00
  • Contributions this election: $2,575.00
  • Cash on hand: $339.15

 

SAFE REPUBLICAN – 7

SD 3 (D+2.4) – Romine SAFE REPUBLICAN 

(R) Sen. Gary Romine

  • Contributions this period: $33,913.00
  • Contributions this election: $450,249.32
  • Cash on hand: $153,481.24

SD 21 (R+4.9) OPEN – Pearce SAFE REPUBLICAN 

(R) Rep. Denny Hoskins

  • Contributions this period: $24,621.25
  • Contributions this election: $255,165.96
  • Cash on hand: $72,875.51

SD 25 (R+11.4) – Libla SAFE REPUBLICAN 

(R) Sen. Doug Libla

  • Contributions this period: $22,800.00
  • Contributions this election: $431,930.82
  • Cash on hand: $227,047.54

SD 27 (R+16.4) – Wallingford SAFE REPUBLICAN 

(R) Sen. Wayne Wallingford

  • Contributions this period: $10,250.00
  • Contributions this election: $335,671.55
  • Cash on hand: $83,998.77

SD 29 (R+19.9) – Sater SAFE REPUBLICAN 

(R) Sen. David Sater

  • Contributions this period: $15,750.00
  • Contributions this election: $94,010.30
  • Cash on hand: $108,788.80

SD 31 (R+6.2) – Emery SAFE REPUBLICAN 

(R) Sen. Ed Emery

  • Contributions this period: $19,662.00
  • Contributions this election: $191,225.20
  • Cash on hand: $88,339.08

SD 33 (R+15.7) – Cunningham SAFE REPUBLICAN 

(R) Sen. Mike Cunningham

  • Contributions this period: $10,612.50
  • Contributions this election: $325,548.74
  • Cash on hand: $224,473.07

 

RETURNING REPUBLICAN – 14

SD 2 (R+) – Onder RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Bob Onder

  • Contributions this period: $30,550
  • Contributions this election: $179,988.41
  • Cash on hand: $61,152.70

SD 6 (R+) – Kehoe RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Mike Kehoe

  • Contributions this period: $33,000
  • Contributions this election: $357,468.71
  • Cash on hand: $55,502.91

SD 8 (R+) – Kraus RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Will Kraus

  • Contributions this period: $29,910
  • Contributions this election: $900,597.97
  • Cash on hand: $5,181.75

SD 10 (R+) – Riddle RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Jeanie Riddle

  • Contributions this period: $
  • Contributions this election: $
  • Cash on hand: $

SD 12 (R+) – Hegeman RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Dave Hegeman

  • Contributions this period: $
  • Contributions this election: $
  • Cash on hand: $

SD 16 (R+) – Brown RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Dan Brown

  • Contributions this period: $
  • Contributions this election: $
  • Cash on hand: $

SD 18 (R+) – Munzlinger RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Brian Munzlinger

  • Contributions this period: $
  • Contributions this election: $
  • Cash on hand: $

SD 20 (R+) – Wasson RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Jay Wasson

  • Contributions this period: $32,445
  • Contributions this election: $127,930
  • Cash on hand: $319,646.25

SD 22 (R+) – Wieland RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Paul Wieland

  • Contributions this period: $28,125
  • Contributions this election: $218,445.45
  • Cash on hand: $78,347.69

SD 26 (R+) – Schatz RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Dave Schatz

  • Contributions this period: $14,675
  • Contributions this election: $116,206.13
  • Cash on hand: $224,072.75

SD 28 (R+) – Parson RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Mike Parson

  • Contributions this period: $289366
  • Contributions this election: $1,744,703.76
  • Cash on hand: $72,334.01

SD 30 (R+) – Dixon RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Bob Dixon

  • Contributions this period: $
  • Contributions this election: $
  • Cash on hand: $

SD 32 (R+) – Richard RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Ron Richard

  • Contributions this period: $27000
  • Contributions this election: $725,272.66
  • Cash on hand: $418,049.48

SD 32 (R+) – Schaaf RETURNING REPUBLICAN

(R) Sen. Rob Schaaf

*Senator Schaaf has closed his fundraising committee. 

 

SAFE DEMOCRAT – 5

SD4 (D+) OPEN – Keavney SAFE DEMOCRAT 

(D) Rep. Jake Hummel

  • Contributions this period:
  • Contributions this election:
  • Cash on hand:

SD5 (D+39.9) Nasheed SAFE DEMOCRAT 

(D) Sen. Jamilah Nasheed

  • Contributions this period: $23,700.00
  • Contributions this election: $636,000.15
  • Cash on hand: $274,801.07

SD7 (D+20.8) Holsman SAFE DEMOCRAT 

(D) Sen. Jason Holsman

  • Contributions this period: $20,000.00
  • Contributions this election: $195,568.10
  • Cash on hand: $163,715.35

SD9 (D+33.9) Curls SAFE DEMOCRAT 

(D) Sen. Kiki Curls

  • Contributions this period: $19,900.00
  • Contributions this election: $245,216.01
  • Cash on hand: $33,649.58

SD13 (D+27.5) Walsh SAFE DEMOCRAT 

(D) Sen. Gina Walsh

  • Contributions this period: $61,695.00
  • Contributions this election: $335,777.43
  • Cash on hand: $147,736.77

 

RETURNING DEMOCRAT – 2

SD14 (D+) Chapelle-Nadal RETURNING DEMOCRAT

(D) Sen. Maria Chappelle-Nadal

  • Contributions this period: $6,025
  • Contributions this election: $50,796.91
  • Cash on hand: $63,533.36

SD24 (D+) Schupp RETURNING DEMOCRAT

(D) Sen. Jill Schupp

  • Contributions this period:
  • Contributions this election:
  • Cash on hand: